
Trucking Gained in Q1 as Supply Tightened, ATA Economist Says
Bob Costello warns headwinds remain despite first-quarter rate gains driven by capacity exits.
Spot and contract freight rates, fuel prices, capacity, lane trends, and freight demand.

Bob Costello warns headwinds remain despite first-quarter rate gains driven by capacity exits.

Annual inspection blitz sidelined trucks and lifted buy rates, adding pressure to an already tight freight market entering summer shipping season.

Port Houston handled 353,319 TEUs in April, down 10% month-over-month and 9% year-over-year, marking the first quarterly container decline since early 2025.…
All three equipment types posted year-over-year gains above 23% as weekly rates climbed across the board.

First-quarter enforcement activity pulled carriers off the road, shrinking available capacity and lifting spot rates: a supply-driven recovery that changes the…

Both spot and contract rates moved up during the first quarter while carriers focused on internal efficiency and operational improvements.

Carriers report better pricing power in Q1 2026 contract negotiations as capacity exits and spot rates firm: the first sustained leverage shift since mid-2023.

National dry van spot rates are up more than 20% year over year as of mid-May, driven by importers front-loading inventory ahead of tariff escalation. The…

Dry van spot rates rose 4¢ last week to $2.00/mile, reefer climbed 10¢, and flatbed added 8¢: all three segments now running 25–38% above year-ago levels.

Iran halted all transits through the Strait of Hormuz three days ago and imposed new shipowner reporting rules. Crude and diesel prices remain elevated despite…

Box manufacturers struggle to pass transportation cost spikes downstream, a signal that freight buyers are pushing back on fuel surcharges even as diesel…

Brent rose 1.8% to $101.80/bbl May 8 after a volatile morning: diesel costs remain elevated as the strait stays shut.