
Diesel Could Hit $7 to $9 a Gallon by November, Strategist Warns
Jeff Currie sees 'extremely high' risk of $5 retail gas and diesel as high as $9/gallon if crude keeps climbing.
Diesel and fuel prices, crude oil markets, fuel surcharges, alternative fuels (RNG, renewable diesel, CNG), refining capacity, energy policy.

Jeff Currie sees 'extremely high' risk of $5 retail gas and diesel as high as $9/gallon if crude keeps climbing.

International oil benchmark jumped 4% Sept. 10 after a 4.3% gain the day before. Every dollar above $100 adds roughly 3 cents to diesel retail.

Brent crude jumped 2.8% to $100.62/barrel Sept. 9, the first triple-digit close in two months. Every dollar adds roughly 3 cents to diesel.

Oil rose 0.9% to a six-week high Sept. 8. Every dollar adds roughly 2.4 cents to diesel retail.

Benchmark U.S. crude climbs to $92.92 per barrel, pushing diesel costs higher for small fleets already squeezed by elevated fuel surcharges.

CME diesel settled at $4.6773/gallon Tuesday, up 18.36 cents in one day. Retail prices lag behind, but the surge will hit fuel surcharges within days.

White House says the deal will lower pump prices and refill reserves, but neither outcome is guaranteed for fleets watching fuel costs.

International benchmark rose 0.2% Aug. 28, still swinging on Middle East uncertainty. Diesel and fuel surcharges follow every move.

Oil up 0.4% on August 27 after diplomatic progress and softer U.S. sanctions calm tanker-exit fears in the Persian Gulf.

Oil dropped 5.5% in three days on new Trump administration pressure. What the slide means for diesel costs and when relief hits the pump.

Crude throughput reached 17.4 million barrels per day last week, the fastest pace in nearly seven years.

The refinery markup on diesel just hit an all-time high of $102 per barrel, four to six times normal. What the record spread means for your fuel bill in Q4.